Monitoring and Rebalancing Your Investments
The Psychology of Investment Monitoring
One of the biggest challenges in investing isn't choosing the right investments, it's managing your own behavior. Many investors harm their returns by checking their portfolios too frequently and making emotional decisions based on short-term market movements. This behavior often leads to buying high when markets are exciting and selling low when fear takes over, exactly the opposite of what successful investing requires.
The tendency to react to market movements is deeply rooted in human psychology. When we see our investments decline, our brain's threat response system activates, pushing us to take action to avoid potential losses. Similarly, when markets are rising, we might feel pressured to invest more out of fear of missing out (FOMO). Understanding these psychological biases is the first step to becoming a better investor.
Key Point
Studies have shown that investors who check their portfolios less frequently tend to achieve better returns. This is because they're less likely to make emotional decisions based on temporary market fluctuations. Research from behavioral finance has found that the pain of losses is felt about twice as strongly as the pleasure of equivalent gains, leading many investors to make poor decisions during market downturns.
Best Practices for Portfolio Monitoring
While it's important to stay informed about your investments, there's a balance to strike. The key is to remain informed enough to make good decisions while avoiding the kind of excessive monitoring that can lead to emotional reactions. Here are some detailed guidelines for healthy portfolio monitoring:
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Set a Schedule
Instead of checking your investments daily or weekly, consider reviewing your portfolio quarterly or semi-annually. This helps you focus on long-term trends rather than short-term volatility. Many successful investors choose to review their portfolios in detail just once or twice a year, often timing these reviews to coincide with other financial tasks like tax planning or year-end reviews.
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Focus on Your Goals
When you do check your portfolio, focus on whether you're still on track to meet your long-term goals rather than on short-term performance. Market fluctuations are normal and expected. Consider using goal-tracking features in your investment platform, or maintain a simple spreadsheet that tracks progress toward your target savings amount. This helps shift your focus from daily price movements to long-term progress.
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Ignore the Noise
Daily financial news and market commentary can create anxiety and lead to poor decisions. Remember that most financial news is designed to generate clicks, not to help you make better investment decisions. Instead of following daily market news, consider reading quarterly or annual reports from reputable sources, or following academic research about long-term investment strategies. If you find yourself feeling anxious about market news, that's often a sign you're consuming too much financial media.
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Keep a Long-Term Perspective
When market volatility occurs, remind yourself of historical market performance. The stock market has experienced numerous significant declines throughout its history, yet has rewarded patient, long-term investors. Consider keeping a written investment policy statement that outlines your long-term strategy and reviewing it during market turbulence.
Understanding Portfolio Rebalancing
Rebalancing is the process of realigning your portfolio back to your target asset allocation. Over time, some investments will perform better than others, causing your portfolio to drift from your intended allocation. For example, if you started with a portfolio of 60% stocks and 40% bonds, after a strong year in the stock market, your portfolio might drift to 70% stocks and 30% bonds, exposing you to more risk than you initially intended.
The purpose of rebalancing isn't to maximize returns: in fact, if you had perfect foresight, you would never rebalance away from winning investments. Instead, rebalancing serves to manage risk and maintain the level of risk exposure you originally chose as appropriate for your goals.
Key Point
If you're invested in global mutual funds as recommended in previous chapters, much of the rebalancing is done automatically for you. This is one of the key benefits of using these types of funds. Most funds perform internal rebalancing regularly to maintain their target allocations.
When to Rebalance
For those who need to manually rebalance their portfolios (such as when you hold multiple funds or individual securities), there are two main approaches:
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Time-Based Rebalancing
Rebalancing on a fixed schedule, such as annually or semi-annually. This is the simplest approach and works well for most investors. Annual rebalancing is particularly convenient as it can be combined with other year-end financial tasks. The main advantage of this approach is its simplicity and the fact that it helps avoid excessive trading. Some investors choose to rebalance on their birthday or another memorable date to make it easier to remember.
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Threshold-Based Rebalancing
Rebalancing when your portfolio drifts more than a certain percentage (typically 5%) from your target allocation. This requires more frequent monitoring but can be more precise. For example, if your target allocation is 60% stocks and 40% bonds, you might rebalance when stocks rise above 65% or fall below 55% of your portfolio. This approach can be particularly useful during periods of high market volatility, but requires more attention and might result in higher transaction costs.
Practical Tips
- Use new contributions to rebalance when possible, as this avoids having to sell existing investments
- Consider tax implications when selling investments in taxable accounts
- Keep trading costs in mind as some brokerages charge fees for trades
- Document your rebalancing strategy in advance to avoid emotional decision-making
Concluding Thoughts
Successful investing is often more about controlling your behavior than picking the perfect investments. By keeping your investment strategy simple, automating what you can, and avoiding emotional decisions, you're more likely to achieve your long-term financial goals. Remember that the most successful investors are often those who set up a sensible strategy and then largely forget about their investments, letting time and compound interest work their magic.
Throughout this guide, we've covered the fundamentals of investing in Japan, from understanding the basic account types to selecting appropriate investments and maintaining them over time. The key takeaway should be that successful investing doesn't require complex strategies or constant attention. Instead, it requires patience, discipline, and the ability to stick to your plan even when markets become volatile.
Remember that investing is a marathon, not a sprint. Markets will go up and down, but historically, patient investors who stick to their strategy through good times and bad have been rewarded. Your future self will thank you for maintaining this long-term perspective and avoiding the common behavioral pitfalls that trip up many investors.